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S7/10Economic
Russia will divert export oil to refineries amid fuel shortage concerns, Reuters says
Russia plans to reduce crude oil exports as it seeks to increase refining volumes in June amid concerns over fuel shortages.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 7–14 days
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