Analyze in Oracle Skeptic
S9/10Military

A Critical Moment for Russia

The Ukrainian military has been attacking Russian energy infrastructure for some time now, so last week’s drone strikes against oil refineries and storage tanks, including one in Moscow, are better seen as the escalation of a longer campaign than as a change in Ukraine’s strategy in the war.

It goes without saying that oil is still essential to the Russian economy and the war effort.

The point of the attacks, then, was to show that Kyiv can limit the amount of money Russia can make from selling oil at a time when there is a global shortage. Russia, meanwhile, has […

] The post A Critical Moment for Russia appeared first on Geopolitical Futures.

Source: Geopolitical FuturesOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.

Checking access status…