S8/10Geopolitical

Europe failing to deter Russia’s ‘hybrid’ war, warn defence officials

Foiled drone attack at German airport seen as sign of Nato’s weak response and Moscow’s impunity

Source: FT WorldOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

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