S9/10Military
West’s preparations for war with Russia, its readiness to respond: Putin's comments
The leadership of NATO countries and the European Union uses false statements about the alleged Russian threat to increase their military budgets, the Russian leader noted
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 90% model probability
Scenarios:
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Increased military exercises in NATO countries and the EU. Public statements from Western leaders expressing strong condemnation of Russia's actions in Ukraine. Reports of increased troop deployments near Russian borders. Time horizon: Within 2
- ◆4 weeks, with escalation potential within a month.
- ◆38% Confirmation indicators: Continued diplomatic efforts between Russia and the West to de
Horizon: 14–28 days