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S7/10Economic

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Expectations May Rise More, ECB Warns

The Iran war may push medium-term inflation expectations among euro-area consumers higher, according to a European Central Bank blog post that appears to underpin the case for hiking interest rates.

Source: Bloomberg Markets

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialise
Horizon: 10–20 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialise
Horizon: 10–20 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialise
Horizon: 10–20 days

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