S8/10Military
Iran says closed Hormuz due to US, Israeli 'violations' of peace MoU
Iran's main military command Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters announced Saturday the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, citing US "breach" of the newly-signed peace memorandum of understanding (MoU) and Israel's ceasefire "violations" in southern Lebanon, Iran's semi-official Mehr news agency reported.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 72% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Increased rhetoric from Iran and its allies, including threats of further action. Reports of increased military activity around the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomatic tensions escalate b
Horizon: 7–30 days