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S8/10Military
Protests in Ukraine's cities against Zelensky's removal of defence minister
Ukraine's president has not explained Mykhailo Fedorov's dismissal, which is causing great upset among civil society and the military.
Source: BBC WorldOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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