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Transporting Oil to China by Rail Will Not Solve Iran’s Export Headache
The overland route presents a limited lifeline for Tehran, but cannot substitute for sea-based oil trade.
Source: The Diplomat
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 7–30 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 7–30 days
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