S9/10Military

Trump says Iran has agreed not to pursue nuclear weapons

Trump says Iran has agreed not to pursue nuclear weapons US President Donald Trump said Iran has "agreed to that 100%" when it comes to not possessing a nuclear weapon, adding that Washington is negotiating with Tehran "from a position of absolute strength" following the recent conflict. Trump also claimed the Strait of Hormuz remained open, saying a record 19 million barrels of oil transited the waterway on 23 June. He added that the US would use some released Iranian funds to purchase American wheat, soybeans and corn for Iran, and repeated claims that US forces had inflicted devastating damage on Iran's military. "Iran is very keen to make a deal with us and I think we might make a deal with them," he said, while dismissing reports suggesting Iran had emerged stronger as "fake news".

26 Jun 2026, 00:05 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация83% model probability

Сценарий А (Эскалация) — 50% [Цепочка эскалации: событие 1 → через 7 дней → эффект] - США ответят на заявление Ирана о том, что оно не будет разрабатывать ядерное оружие. - Война в Персидском заливе breakout (23.06.2026). - Снижение экспорта нефти из Ирана (24.06.2026). Индикаторы подтверждения: 1. Обмены военными базами между США и Ираном. 2. Публичные заявления о том, что США готовы использовать силу для защиты своих интересов в регионе. 3. Увеличение напряженности между СШ

Horizon: 7–30 days