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S9/10Military
US struck school in Iran despite warnings intelligence was outdated — CNN
According to one of the network's sources, the US military determined the cause of the incident within days of the strike on the school, but has yet to release the findings of its investigation
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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