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S8/10Geopolitical
Ukrainian army carries out 146 attacks on Russia’s Belgorod Region in past day
According to Acting Governor Alexander Shuvayev, seven strikes involved artillery and multiple rocket launchers, while drones dropped explosives in 13 attacks
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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