S7/10Economic
Softer inflation trips rate hike forecasts, RBI hold more likely
Standard Chartered Bank had already withdrawn its August rate hike forecast following the last policy review. ET’s interactions with bank economists and a review of research reports show that most institutions now expect the RBI to remain on hold through FY27, while some believe any rate hikes would be back-ended later in the year as the central bank prioritises growth over inflation management.
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
⏳
Scenario analysis in progress…