S9/10Military

Ghalibaf says Strait of Hormuz will not return to pre-war status

Ghalibaf says Strait of Hormuz will not return to pre-war status Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf has said the administration of the Strait of Hormuz will "never return to the pre-war situation", describing the outcome of negotiations in Switzerland as a significant diplomatic achievement. Speaking during his return flight from Switzerland, Ghalibaf praised Iranian negotiators for securing the lifting of the blockade through diplomacy rather than military action. "If we had wanted to do this by military means, it would naturally have been a war and would have caused damage; but you saw that the blockade was lifted overnight," he said. Ghalibaf also reiterated Tehran's longstanding scepticism towards Washington, stating that Iran remained distrustful of the United States and would continue to approach future dealings with caution. Referring to Israel, he said that the Israeli government opposed the negotiation process because it viewed the diplomatic track as contrary to its interests and would seek to undermine it.

22 Jun 2026, 23:51 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация83% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Confirmation indicators

  • Increase in military activity near Strait of Hormuz. Iranian statements indicating preparation for a potential conflict. Increased tensions between Iran and the West, including possible sanctions or diplomatic pressure. Time horizon: Within 30 days.
Horizon: 7–30 days