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S9/10Geopolitical
Russian forces attack Ukraine with missiles and drones, strikes recorded at 23 locations
Russian forces launched ballistic missiles and 167 drones overnight, with Ukrainian air defences destroying or jamming 128 drones and strikes recorded at 23 locations.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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