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As Europe rearms, can it decouple its military supply chains from China?

Europe’s defence industry would gradually reduce its reliance on China during the continent’s ongoing rearmament drive, rather than decouple completely, analysts said.

On Wednesday, during the Group of Seven summit in Evian-les-Bains, France, the leaders of France, Germany, the UK, Italy, the US, Canada and Japan signed a declaration on securing supply chains for critical minerals.

Without naming China, the leaders agreed to “significantly reduce” their dependency on a “single supplier outside...

Source: South China Morning PostOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

s, potentially leading to heightened tensions and trade disputes. This escalation could manifest as a gradua

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво

s, potentially leading to heightened tensions and trade disputes. This escalation could manifest as a gradua

Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация

s, potentially leading to heightened tensions and trade disputes. This escalation could manifest as a gradua

Horizon: 7–30 days

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