Social··Severity 7
Tigray rebels in 'full-blown' war with government
In tonight's edition, Tigrayans in northern Ethiopia start panic buying supplies in the rush to stock up amidst fears that months of tensions have finally tipped over into full-blown conflict.
Also, power cuts return to Senegal. And Yemis Alade, the Nigerian superstar, is out with a new album and speaks to France 24.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%