Economic··Severity 7
Federal Reserve raises rates for first time since 2023
Central bank chair Kevin Warsh defies calls from Donald Trump to lower borrowing costs
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%