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Natural··Severity 9

Congo's Ebola epidemic might have gone unnoticed for months

The deadliest Ebola outbreak on record in the Democratic Republic of Congo may have begun months before it was declared in May.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

52%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: DW World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%