Geopolitical··Severity 8
Kosovo war crimes court jails ex-president Hashim Thaçi for 25 years, sparking mass protests
Kosovo’s ex-president Hashim Thaçi gets 25 years for war crimes, sparking mass protests in Pristina as supporters chant and clash with police.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%