Geopolitical··Severity 8
Chinese oil prices hit record highs after attacks on Saudi pipeline
Beijing has cushioned global impact of Iran war by drawing down stocks but is now ‘coming off its crash diet’
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%