Military··Severity 9
Russia’s plans may include strikes against Ukraine’s allies, Poland says
Warsaw also says it scrambled military planes in response to a Russian attack in western Ukraine, close to its border.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%