Economic··Severity 7
US tariffs against Russian oil buyers pass: What it means for China, India
US sanctions aim to weaken Russian oil exports, heavily targeting China and India as Moscow's largest energy buyers.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
49%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%