← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

Russia has attacked shut-down Zaporizhzhia Steelworks for fourth time in a month: one injured – photos

Russia attacked the shut-down Zaporizhstal (Zaporizhzhia Steelworks), a major iron and steel manufacturing plant in the city of Zaporizhzhia, with two ballistic missiles on the morning of 17 September.

One employee has been taken to hospital. Production equipment and railway infrastructure have been significantly damaged.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%