Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with missiles and drones, hits recorded at 36 locations
Russia launched 157 drones and anti-ship, ballistic and cruise missiles to attack Ukraine overnight. Air defence destroyed 131 aerial assets, while hits were recorded at 36 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%