Geopolitical··Severity 8
Polish foreign minister on Russian threat to destroy Poland in 2-3 days: Ukraine has shown it is difficult
Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski responded to Putin aide Patrushev's threat to destroy Poland, saying nuclear blackmail hasn't worked against Ukraine
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%