Military··Severity 8
Drones attack military air base in Rostov-on-Don and oil refinery in Yaroslavl – photos, videos
Drones attacked several Russian areas overnight, with a major fire reported at the Slavneft-YANOS oil refinery in Yaroslavl and a possible fire at a military air base in Rostov-on-Don.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%