Geopolitical··Severity 8
Polish PM believes Russia is preparing hybrid attacks against countries supporting Ukraine
Poland’s prime minister says intelligence points to possible Russian drone and missile attacks designed to weaken NATO’s resolve and Article 5.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%