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Economic··Severity 7

Trump says Canada becoming EU ‘associate member’ could be ‘hostile act’

The US president threatened heavy tariffs and said the US could cut some trade with Europe over the proposed status.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%