Geopolitical··Severity 8
France not at war with Russia, but not at peace with it either — French Foreign Ministry
Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot reiterated his previous statement that France is facing disinformation campaigns and cyberattacks allegedly linked to Russia
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%