Geopolitical··Severity 8
Warsh defies Trump’s calls for lower borrowing costs
Also in today’s newsletter, US lawmakers pass sanctions bill to pressure Russia
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%