Geopolitical··Severity 9
At least 19 injured in Russian attacks across Ukraine
Missile and drone strikes targeted Ukraine's capital Kyiv as well as the Zaporizhzhia and Odesa regions.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%