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Geopolitical··Severity 9

UN investigators find 'reasonable grounds' US committed war crimes in Iran

UN investigators find 'reasonable grounds' US committed war crimes in Iran The United Nations has “reasonable grounds” to believe the US committed a war crime with its strikes on the Minab elementary school and a sports centre in the opening days of the US-Israeli war on Iran.

The US attack on the Minab school killed at least 150 people, including approximately 120 children. Another strike hit a “clearly identifiable sports complex and residential area” in the southern Iranian city of Lamerd.

“The Mission found reasonable grounds to believe the United States committed the war crime of launching indiscriminate attacks resulting in the loss of life or injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects,” a UN fact-finding mission wrote in a report released on Thursday.

The report is not a judicial ruling, but has been submitted to the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva.

The UN investigators noted that the Minab school was struck by a Tomahawk missile as part of ongoing strikes on an adjacent Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps base.

The researchers noted that the strike was not due to an errant missile.

Read more: UN investigators find 'reasonable grounds' US committed war crimes in Iran The graves of people and children killed in the US strike on a primary school are seen in Minab, Iran, on 10 August 2026 (Atta Kenare/AFP)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%