Economic··Severity 7
ECB’s Rehn Sees No Second-Round Inflation Effects From War Shock
The energy-price shock from the conflict in the Middle East hasn’t fed through to other parts of the economy up until now, according to European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%