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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Lithuania's foreign minister confirms Polish intel on Russia preparing hybrid attacks against Ukraine's allies

Foreign Minister Kęstutis Budrys says Lithuania has the same intelligence as regional allies about potential Russian false-flag operations involving drones and missiles.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%