Geopolitical··Severity 8
As NATO grows, so too do threats to Russia - Putin
Some European leaders are openly stating that they are preparing for war, Russian president mentioned
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%