Geopolitical··Severity 9
Live: At least five injured in Russian drone strikes in Kyiv region
At least five people were injured on Friday after Russian drone strikes struck the Kyiv region, including three children, local officials said.
The attack came as polling stations in Russia opened for the country's first parliamentary election since the start of the war in Ukraine. Follow our liveblog for all the latest updates.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%