Military··Severity 8
International Biathlon Union refuses to reinstate membership of Russia and Belarus
The International Biathlon Union rejected reinstatement after finding Russia had not met conditions on distancing itself from the war and military involvement.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%