Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia has ramped up ballistic strikes on Ukraine using repurposed S-400 missiles – Reuters
Russia has significantly increased its use of RM-48U missiles against Ukraine, with repurposed S-400 missiles accounting for over half of recent ballistic and hypersonic strikes.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%