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Military··Severity 9

Why Eurasia, Not the Indo-Pacific, Matters Most in Next Phase of Taiwan Deterrence

Washington is preparing for the right war, but in the wrong theater. For years, U. S.

strategic thinking has centered on the Indo‑Pacific: the militarized atolls of the South China Sea, China’s churning naval shipyards, and the tense waters of the Taiwan Strait.

Yet the next phase of competition will likely play out on the Eurasian landmass, contested through pipelines, swing states, and shifting alignments along routes that overlap with the ancient Silk Road. S.

This is where China is building alternative trade and energy corridors beyond the immediate reach of U. military power.

Chinese strategists have long worried that, in a conflict The post Why Eurasia, Not the Indo-Pacific, Matters Most in Next Phase of Taiwan Deterrence appeared first on War on the Rocks.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: War on the Rocks

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%