← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

France’s 2035 national security plan warns of increased conflict in sea, outer space

“An increasing share of power — and also vulnerabilities — will be concentrated in these spaces, which are largely invisible to citizens. ” the document says.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Breaking Defense

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%