← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

Dollar bonds to lose some lustre as US yields surge

Overseas bond sales may moderate as the US Federal Reserve increases interest rates. Bank of Maharashtra priced its debut bond at a higher yield than Union Bank of India.

Indian companies have raised over $20 billion in dollar bonds this year. Higher US treasury yields increase the all-in cost for Indian issuers.

Issuers may frontload fundraising before rates potentially rise further.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%