Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump warns in UN speech he could 'annihilate' Iran without peace deal
"I will never allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon," Trump told the 81st session of the General Assembly, describing Tehran as “the bully of the Middle East” that is “the bully no longer. ”
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%