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Economic··Severity 7

Traders Load Up on Hedges for Shallower Fed Rate-Hike Cycle

Traders in the options market are shielding themselves from the possibility that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates less than markets are currently pricing in.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%