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Economic··Severity 7

How can tensions ease for China-US trade?

-initiated trade war against China and most other global trading partners has eased since President Donald Trump imposed his so-called "liberation day" tariffs back in April 2025.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

43%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: CGTN World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%