Military··Severity 8
West turns Ukraine into global illegal arms trade hub — Russian delegation in Vienna
Russia's chief delegate to the Vienna talks on military security and arms control Yuliya Zhdanova stressed that the illicit trade in Western weaponry and military hardware in Ukraine is now fully controlled by Ukrainian and international organized crime groups
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
68%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%