Geopolitical··Severity 9
Countries cancel Iran flights after US threatens to ‘shut down’ airlines
Iraq, Oman and Azerbaijan join growing list of nations suspending air travel after Scott Bessent warns of further sanctions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%