Natural··Severity 7
Famine threatens the Ukrainian town of Oleshky in the southern Kherson region as Russia delays creating a humanitarian evacuation corridor
Food supplies to the town of Oleshky in the occupied part of the southern Kherson region have been cut off since May. Efforts by Kyiv to negotiate the evacuation of civilians with Moscow have been largely unsuccessful.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%