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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Grossi delayed visit to ZNPP amid security threats from Kiev — diplomat

Russian Permanent Representative to International Organizations in Vienna Mikhail Ulyanov said the IAEA Director General and members of his team planned to visit the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant in late August

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

56%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%