Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia attacks four Ukrainian regions overnight
Ukrainian authorities say Russia attacked at least four regions overnight with missiles and drones, killing at least five people. Ukrainian forces meanwhile damaged another Russian oil refinery in a long-range strike.
The attacks came as President Volodymyr Zelensky met US President Donald Trump in New York for talks on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. Camille Knight reports.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%