Military··Severity 8
Tigray rebels seize airports
In tonight's edition, concerns about South Africa's high rates of crimes are brought even more into focus this week as 11 are killed in a mass killing at a party.
Also, TPLF fighters take over the airport in Tigray amidst escalating conflict with federal troops.
And in eastern DR Congo, residents of Bukavu are once again searching through the ruins of their homes after another deadly fire.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
70%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%